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Troubling Times for the Coffee Industry?

Writer: Steve NuthSteve Nuth


Green raw coffee from Mt Elgin, Uganda 
C Price coffee futures

The price of coffee has been going up a lot, and it's shocking to everyone in the industry. The price hit $4.27 per pound, and that’s a huge increase in a very short time. This is happening because a few things are going on in the market. There are some people who buy coffee futures (which is like betting on future coffee prices) and that makes the price go higher. People are also worried about things like trade wars, which makes investors turn to things like coffee as a safer bet.


One reason coffee prices are rising so fast is because of “liquidity.” Liquidity means how easily you can buy or sell coffee contracts. Normally, there are lots of people buying and selling, which keeps prices stable. But now, the market has fewer people trading, and that makes prices jump around a lot. Some people are buying because they think prices will keep going up, but others (like coffee roasters who make coffee) are struggling because they can't afford to buy at these high prices.


Another problem is that trade houses (companies that buy and sell coffee) can’t keep up with the higher prices. They need a lot of money to handle these big deals, and the cost of borrowing that money has shot up, making it harder to do business. Even coffee farmers, who should be happy because they’re getting more money for their coffee, don’t want to sell it. The price has gone up so much that they’re holding onto it, hoping it will go even higher.

So, the market is really unstable right now. It’s not behaving like a normal market where things are balanced and predictable. The price keeps going up and down, and no one really knows where it's going. Some people are making a lot of money, but others are finding it hard to keep their businesses going. The whole thing feels more like a crazy rollercoaster than a stable market.


In short, the coffee industry is in a crazy spot right now, with prices soaring, but it’s making it harder for everyone involved to do business. People are hoping things settle down, but it’s unclear when that will happen.

 
 
 

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